There’s no doubting that the English Premiership is one of the most exciting leagues in world football, with live matches being shown every week in many countries. Bookmakers spend vast sums of money promoting football betting, and have seen the popularity of football betting grow exponentially in the last ten years or so. For this very reason, the odds compilers spend a lot of their time focusing on getting the odds right for all the premiership fixtures and markets.
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As a result of this, it follows on that because they take less money on lower league matches, then less of their time is spent analysing these matches when compiling their odds, and more attention is focused on the premiership matches. This means that there is often some great value prices to be had in the lower divisions for punters who maybe support their local lower league team, or simply have good information. For example, they may simply do thorough research on team news and injuries, something which the bookmakers largely ignore when pricing up matches outside the premiership.
Let me give you an example from by site. A friend of mine is a season ticket holder at Bristol City, who are two divisions below the premiership. Now he made some very nice profits earlier in the season by laying Bristol City to lose on Betfair (a leading betting exchange that allows you to lay bets as well as back), meaning he profited every time they drew or lost. He did this on a number of matches simply because he could see with his own eyes that they were struggling, and were desperately low in confidence.
However the bookmakers had them down as second favourites for promotion at the start of the season, and because of this their prices for matches were often very low, meaning the bookies expected them to turn the corner and start winning again. Because Betfair’s prices are largely based on the bookmakers’ prices, my friend therefore got very low prices, and therefore excellent value prices for laying Bristol City. As it turned out they continued to play poorly and drew or lost a lot of matches at that time, therefore earning him a lot of money.
In theory you could make good profits from any smaller leagues where the odds compilers research is less focused. For example, I’ve heard of a few people who bet solely on Divisions 2 and 3 of the Scottish league. Similarly, there are some good betting opportunities in many of the smaller European leagues such as the Austrian or Belgian leagues, where obviously people who live in these countries would have a distinct advantage in terms of information on form, team news and injuries.
To conclude, the English Premiership does provide fantastic entertainment, and you will always have numerous markets to bet on. However if you’re looking for value, and are serious about making some profits from betting, then I would recommend you look outside the premiership and major leagues. There’s plenty of profitable opportunities out there.
Jim Buccini is a former full-time Betfair trader who has produced a website detailing proven profit-generating tips and strategies. For more information click here:Betfair Tips and Strategies
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